Le plus grand guide pour slow and fast thinking book
Le plus grand guide pour slow and fast thinking book
Blog Article
His credentials are indisputable, and he tries gamely to bring the subject to life, délicat -- mea culpa -- I just couldn't stay interested in the myriad of data and specific examples. The book is good connaissance someone really interested in the details, and it ut contain real life examples, fin after 400 pages it's Pornographique to remember them. My takeaway: Our intuition is frequently wrong, and even our experience (pépite what we believe our experience to have been) may not Supposé que reliable as a decision conducteur. So, be careful!
Engaging the reader in a lively conversation about how we think, Daniel Kahneman reveals where we can and cannot trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking.
is kind of like a guest who vue up to your party and then dazzles everyone with année impromptu, 15-minute oration on the geopolitical emploi in South Ossetia; and, everyone applauds and turns to go back to their own entretien, only connaissance the guest to launch into another story embout the time they parachuted into the Balkans to break up a nascent civil war, a story which is followed quickly by a similar tale of a visit to Southeast Asia….
Most books and Éditorial embout cognitive bias contain a brief chenal, typically toward the end, similar to this Je in Thinking, Fast and Slow: “The Demande that is most often asked about cognitive fourvoiement is whether they can Supposé que overcome. The message … is not encouraging.”
In 2011, iarpa initiated a program, Sirius, to fund the development of “serious” video games that could combat pépite mitigate what were deemed to Si the demi-douzaine most damaging biases: Confiance bias, fundamental attribution error, the bias blind spot (the clairvoyance that Nous-mêmes is less biased than the average person), the anchoring effect, the representativeness heuristic, and projection bias (the assumption that everybody else’s thinking is the same as Nous-mêmes’s own).
Cognitive Ease: We all love it when we offrande’t have to work too hard because system 2 doesn’t like being bothered. So we admire and rather train for cognitive ease. Things that are less complex have a patente effect nous-mêmes our behavior. Psychologists use the term “Mind at ease puts a smile je the face”.
The hip guys, the planners, believe in basically nothing - they’re all fast talk and Agissement. We’ll call them the goats: they love to butt heads with you.
Embasement-rate neglect: Recall Steve, the meek and tidy soul who is often believed to Si a librarian. The personality figure is salient and vivid, and although you surely know that there are more male farmers than male librarians, that statistical fact almost certainly did not come to your mind when you first considered the Devinette.
Plaisant considering the logistical restraints of doing research, I thought that Kahneman’s experiments were all quite expertly libéralité, with the relevant mobile controlled and additional work performed to check expérience competing explanations. So I cannot fault this.
Another example of this failure of impression is the mind’s tendency to generate causal stories to explain random statistical noise. A famous example of this is the “terme conseillé hand” in basketball: interpreting a streak of successful shots as due to the player being especially focused, rather than simply as a result a luck. (Although subsequent research ha shown that there was something to the idea, after all.
The outside view is implemented by using a vaste database, which provides récente nous both schéma and outcomes intuition hundreds of projects all over the world, and can Lorsque used to provide statistical nouvelle embout the likely overruns of cost and time, and about the likely underperformance of projects of different police.
Pépite if you are really into the érudition and scholarship, there are footnotes in the back--stealth footnotes without the little numbers je the book's pages, so as not to intimidate the general audience.
The mortel ravissante from this research is that année algorithm that slow and fast thinking criticism pdf is constructed nous the back of an envelope is often good enough to compete with année optimally weighted formula, and certainly good enough to outdo chevronné judgment.
I suppose it’s also worth mentioning that this book reaffirms my supercilious disregard for economics. According to Kahneman, stock brokers and investors have no idea what they are doing—and some of them know this, but most of them don’t. Economists are, intuition the most ration, highly-trained, ravissant they seem bent upon sustaining this theoretical fantasy État in which humans are rational creatures.